Re-upload of Russian Way of War 11 from 8 July 2022
Here’s the eleventh episode from Adjutants Lounge, all rights are Ben and Phil.
Half an hour transcript for everybody, the rest for paid subscribers. Might release for free to everybody in future, might not.
This is the last episode of season one.
Full audio for free here
Transcript
00:00:01 Ben Skipper
Hello and welcome to the entrance lounge.
00:00:05 Ben Skipper
We're continuing the the, the the series, the Russian man War and today is past 11. I'm joined by Co presenter, Doctor Philip Blood. Doctor Phil, how are you?
00:00:17 Philip Blood
I'm very well. Thank you, Ben. And how are you?
00:00:19 Ben Skipper
Living the dream, living the dream and also joined once again by Castle and Dustin Ducane Dustin, how are you?
00:00:30 Dustin Du Cane
Fine. Thank you.
00:00:33 Ben Skipper
We we, this, this, this sort of series of podcasts.
00:00:39 Ben Skipper
Has developed along several themes, obviously in line with with with the current war in Ukraine.
00:00:49 Ben Skipper
And we, we just had a had a had a sort of a pre recording chat and there's several things we'd like to discuss there. We had we hope to be joined by by somebody else before she technical issues prevent the the individual joining us.
00:01:03 Ben Skipper
We hope to have him back soon.
00:01:05 Ben Skipper
So.
00:01:08 Ben Skipper
We carry on with the genocide theme and I'm I'm not gonna sort of mince and we're just gonna launch straight into it. This is the questions being posed is that?
00:01:16 Ben Skipper
Genocidal intent is, is there genocidal intent on Russian special military operations?
00:01:26 Philip Blood
Who's starting me off dusting?
00:01:29 Ben Skipper
Either or, because this is, this is something sounds brittle. It it it's a ball that that fits nicely in both of your.
00:01:36 Ben Skipper
Your specialities?
00:01:36 Philip Blood
OK.
00:01:38 Philip Blood
OK, well.
00:01:39 Philip Blood
Let's just recap. We're dusting my art producing book, writing a book with a couple of colleagues, Chris Bellamy and Doctor Nick Terry from Exeter University, and it's about annihilation, warfare and the Russian way of war.
00:01:56 Philip Blood
I am I. I've been designated with putting together a chapter on.
00:02:03 Philip Blood
The Cold War.
00:02:05 Philip Blood
As a fighting period to open the.
00:02:09 Philip Blood
Book.
00:02:11 Philip Blood
Basically a series of interviews with uh U.S. Army Colonel talking about the question of how quickly was it expected to get to nuclear war.
00:02:23 Philip Blood
If.
00:02:25 Philip Blood
Conventional forces were used in the folder gap area.
00:02:30 Philip Blood
My own specific chapters, the one of them is on mechanised genocide.
00:02:38 Philip Blood
Built into the Russian Web War and the others on the war in in the European future.
00:02:45 Philip Blood
And obviously.
00:02:49 Philip Blood
One is military specific, one is political, civil military relations type.
00:02:56 Philip Blood
History.
00:02:58 Philip Blood
What?
00:02:59 Philip Blood
Happened in the last few weeks as the the discussions about artillery and genocide and the nature of the genocide in.
00:03:09 Philip Blood
This present war in Ukraine has raised a number of questions, and it was pretty clear to me.
00:03:17 Philip Blood
That one of the primary problems that academics have and military experts is how to predict genocide happening.
00:03:27 Philip Blood
How how do you predict it's gonna happen and how do you prevent it once you've made the correct prediction?
00:03:34 Philip Blood
Now if you look at most genocide or Holocaust research.
00:03:40 Philip Blood
Most of it is focused focused on a historical or sociological historical methodology which assumes the genocide has happened.
00:03:52 Philip Blood
It's much harder to look at the genocide before it started.
00:03:56 Philip Blood
Work out where it's gonna happen, how it's gonna happen, how it's gonna develop from a certain amount of information so.
00:04:05 Philip Blood
I set my mind to the task of working out how you would predict based on my research, how you would predict potential genocide.
00:04:17 Philip Blood
And my conclusions are.
00:04:20 Philip Blood
That they it, it would happen in phases, first of all.
00:04:25 Philip Blood
The military doctrines and by the way, I'm presuming at the moment we're not talking about a fascist state. We're talking about any state. So.
00:04:33 Philip Blood
Neutral politics here. We're just talking about the physicality of.
00:04:40 Philip Blood
Imposing a military policy that leads to.
00:04:45 Philip Blood
Genocide. OK, so.
00:04:47 Philip Blood
The first part is to have a doctrine or a mission.
00:04:52 Philip Blood
Which is open-ended a catch all without specific a non specific doctrine or mission which says something like attack in Ukraine.
00:05:06 Philip Blood
So we don't.
00:05:08 Philip Blood
We don't mention ******. You can mention Nazis, but the actual mission is to invade and attack. And I think if you go back.
00:05:18 Philip Blood
There was possibly that could a man against Zelenski government. There were the various lodgement points.
00:05:27 Philip Blood
Which I call the Anaconda plan then was the artillery.
00:05:31 Philip Blood
And so on and so forth.
00:05:34 Philip Blood
The point of all of that is there was a.
00:05:38 Philip Blood
Identifiable military mission based within the special mission doctrine. OK, so that's the first part. The second part of the Opera of of, of looking at this is the kind of forces that are put.
00:05:54 Philip Blood
Into this mix.
00:05:58 Philip Blood
On special military operation and for what purpose? So.
00:06:03 Philip Blood
If the if, if it was about speed of taking out the government hitting the the the the Ukrainian forces in such a way that caused devastation ripple effect all the way around as as I thought the plan was and I still think that was the case.
00:06:21 Philip Blood
Then they would quickly.
00:06:24 Philip Blood
Take out.
00:06:26 Philip Blood
The Ukrainian army and the Ukrainian government, rendering it fairly useless and winning the war.
00:06:32 Philip Blood
OK. So that's the units we saw to begin with were fast moving light, light equipments, light lighting equipment units like the paratroopers and so.
00:06:43 Philip Blood
Forth.
00:06:44 Philip Blood
The third area that I started to investigate is the target.
00:06:50 Philip Blood
And.
00:06:52 Philip Blood
Well, I mean the target here, it's not so much the target in the sense of what's Putin's plan, because Putin's plan is open-ended and it can be whatever he wants. Our explain that in a minute the target here is what actually is. He is his forces attacking.
00:07:12 Philip Blood
Cake. So when we first looked at the wall.
00:07:16 Philip Blood
There were attacks on cities, villages, military areas, strategic points.
00:07:23 Philip Blood
And then very quickly, we got to the point where there were just pound ground pounding total areas of civilian community. And if you remember very early on, I said.
00:07:35 Philip Blood
That's genocide.
00:07:38 Philip Blood
And I said that's genocide because the shells were being fired in such a way as to cause maximum destruction of the population.
00:07:49 Philip Blood
In those areas and forcing the refugees to leave in large numbers, which is what happened and destroying the social order and the way of life.
00:07:59 Philip Blood
So in effect, you've got a special military operation with special military forces specific to the task. But somewhere along the line the targeting has shifted from a special military operation to a more political operation.
00:08:18 Philip Blood
Now it's very difficult to know whether the first policy was smash all the civilian communities.
00:08:24 Philip Blood
I don't think we really know.
00:08:27 Philip Blood
But we do know that the pounding that has continued and continued against the cities and what they did to Mariupol and the other cities.
00:08:37 Philip Blood
Shows.
00:08:38 Philip Blood
That whether it was first stage, first level, first ladder of the escalation was.
00:08:47 Philip Blood
To attack those places, we certainly now know that not only was it to attack those places, but it was also to flatten.
00:08:55 Philip Blood
And destroyed the swathes of community.
00:09:02 Philip Blood
So let's all, let me just wrap all of that up and say, OK, So what do we have? Well, we have an open-ended doctrine or mission.
00:09:11 Philip Blood
With military forces.
00:09:14 Philip Blood
Which have been assigned somewhere along the line, deliberately or.
00:09:19 Philip Blood
Or as a matter of course 2.
00:09:23 Philip Blood
Destroying civilian targets.
00:09:25 Philip Blood
So in a sense.
00:09:29 Philip Blood
It's acceptable to have a military operation, but it's not acceptable to have a severe attack on civilians.
00:09:36 Philip Blood
Do you see the link?
00:09:37 Ben Skipper
Yeah.
00:09:38 Philip Blood
What? What's actually happened to the special military operation had continued focusing on tanks and infantry and reserves and all the good stuff.
00:09:48 Philip Blood
That would be a special military operation and to a certain extent, if they went out and assassinated.
00:09:54 Philip Blood
All the political leaders.
00:09:57 Philip Blood
I mean, it's not good, it's not good politics, but it would have within reason the scope of being a special military operation.
00:10:07 Philip Blood
When the military operation.
00:10:10 Philip Blood
Shifts in direction from the military to the civil.
00:10:15 Philip Blood
That then triggers a whole load of issues so straight away.
00:10:22 Philip Blood
Because it's gone to a no because it was an open-ended policy.
00:10:28 Philip Blood
It's immediately it's immediate number because it's not a declared war and therefore.
00:10:37 Philip Blood
As far as I'm aware, under the Presidents and laws of war.
00:10:42 Philip Blood
Putin's forces can be prosecuted for civilian crime of murder.
00:10:49 Philip Blood
So not only do you have the civilian crime of murder, but on top of that.
00:10:55 Philip Blood
Because of the.
00:10:58 Philip Blood
The the depth of the the crimes that are being committed, he's walked into genocide.
00:11:05 Philip Blood
Either walked in or deliberately caused genocide.
00:11:09 Philip Blood
So it's not military specific war crimes and genocide, it's crimes against civilians, civilian law.
00:11:23 Philip Blood
Which has genocidal consequences.
00:11:30 Philip Blood
Now to get to this in a historical perspective, I.
00:11:35 Philip Blood
Referred Dustin to Hitler's bandit hunters, which is about.
00:11:41 Philip Blood
A Nazi policy called bandemia conform.
00:11:45 Philip Blood
Now that policy was driven by.
00:11:50 Philip Blood
A legacy heritage of war committed by the German armed forces since the 1840s, again for security purposes. So, for example, 1848 revolution suppressed the revolution.
00:12:07 Philip Blood
1870s per counter the Fonterra in the Franco Prussian War.
00:12:14 Philip Blood
In the Herrera War, killing the native tribes and exterminating the Herrera tribe tribe.
00:12:22 Philip Blood
In Munich in 1919, killing the the Red Republic in Munich, killing the the communists in the Red Republic, executing them, assassinating them and fighting them without controls. So although they were Communist ex former First World War.
00:12:42 Philip Blood
Soldiers fighting ex First World War soldiers. There was no laws of war and what they did to each other was quite criminal.
00:12:51 Philip Blood
So you're not in in German security warfare. You're not in the zone of the normal laws of war, your insecurity.
00:13:05 Philip Blood
And that's a very dark place, because insecurity. You can do pretty much whatever you like. You can call it national security. You can call it self protection.
00:13:18 Philip Blood
But there's a there's.
00:13:19 Philip Blood
A huge range of ways you can go about how how you deploy for.
00:13:26 Philip Blood
Security warfare.
00:13:29 Philip Blood
Now if you look at what Putin has done with his special military operation, it kind of follows German security warfare.
00:13:39 Philip Blood
Of prosecuting war for security purposes.
00:13:45 Philip Blood
Now.
00:13:47 Philip Blood
Some people might think that, well, you know.
00:13:50 Philip Blood
That's not the way history works. It doesn't jump from 1945. Suddenly, we're here redoing all of this stuff. Well, that wouldn't be my argument. My argument would be that vanderby Kampung and elements of security warfare first went to Britain.
00:14:07 Philip Blood
In 1950, when Aubrey Dixon published a book using the band The McCann from Principles from 1944.
00:14:19 Philip Blood
And that methodology?
00:14:21 Philip Blood
Was taken into the British Army.
00:14:24 Philip Blood
Uh, the next time it turns up is during the.
00:14:29 Philip Blood
Department of Defence Studies, set by Robert McNamara in America in the 1960s and you see elements of Banda McCann, thongs, things like, UH, strategic Hamlets, body counts, hunting people as bandits. All of that.
00:14:49 Philip Blood
Found its way into the.
00:14:50 Philip Blood
Vietnam.
00:14:51 Philip Blood
War.
00:14:52 Philip Blood
Ohh, because when I spoke to an American general about this in 2006, he said everything you talked about today is recognisable from what I saw in Laos when he was the commander in Chief in Laos and in Vietnam.
00:15:09 Ben Skipper
Just just to interject there, that's this interesting. Sorry, you should say that.
00:15:13 Philip Blood
Let me just stay the last bit. So you've got the connectivity, so 911 happens.
00:15:18 Ben Skipper
Yeah.
00:15:22 Philip Blood
And Bush immediately says declares War on Terror.
00:15:28 Philip Blood
Now the problem with what he did when he declared War on Terror was not specific. Now, later on, it was Muslim fundamentalism, Taliban, blah, blah, blah. But the initial policy was.
00:15:43 Philip Blood
War on Terror.
00:15:45 Philip Blood
And we've known the period since 9:11 up until the the other year, when Afghanistan finally, uh, was lost was.
00:15:55 Philip Blood
Was what we would call the age of terror.
00:15:58 Philip Blood
The age of the War on Terror.
00:16:00 Philip Blood
And that was so suitably vague that strange and horrible things happened. And we know what happened. There was Abu Ghraib, and there was all the other crimes that went on. And there was civilian losses, bombardments and civilians now.
00:16:17 Philip Blood
That's a doctrinal process.
00:16:20 Philip Blood
You can see a doctrinal process.
00:16:23 Philip Blood
What happens at the next level, which is the use of the military that determines and how the how that policy is going to be implemented and what the losses are, and wherever you see large bombardment underpinning a vague operation?
00:16:44 Philip Blood
You are pretty much looking and expecting large numbers of civilian casualties.
00:16:55 Philip Blood
All of this concludes to me or raises A conclusion to my mind.
00:17:01 Philip Blood
That if you.
00:17:03 Philip Blood
News.
00:17:05 Philip Blood
An open-ended capsule doctrine like a special military operation and you use heavy artillery and you apply it against a large European conurbation.
00:17:19 Philip Blood
As soon as you open fire.
00:17:22 Philip Blood
You are committing genocide.
00:17:26 Philip Blood
I have no doubt about that, man. This isn't collateral damage, collateral damage.
00:17:33 Philip Blood
Is Ronald 7 Panther division scouting through France in 1944, hitting a few villages and killing a lot of civilians, but mostly the 1.3 million refugees that fled the German army in 1940 largely escaped. There was as, as I understand it, I could be wrong.
00:17:53 Philip Blood
That's about 123,000 civilians killed in 1940.
00:17:59 Philip Blood
And and that was in Holland. The people killed in Holland, especially those bombed in Rotterdam, the losses in Belgium, especially Hanoi, where the town was completely taken out before the civilians could escape.
00:18:15 Philip Blood
Events in Dunkirk and those people who were caught up in the fighting, that's always going to be a problem. But collateral damage was within the realms of.
00:18:25 Philip Blood
I suppose for the age acceptability, I mean I I'm, I'm against this idea that somehow you can just range more without any kind of control in a civilian community. But what you have now is dense populations in Europe.
00:18:41 Philip Blood
So when you start chucking ordinance around.
00:18:45 Philip Blood
This isn't Sennelager or Salisbury plain. This is a large city.
00:18:51 Philip Blood
And when Maria poll is being hit.
00:18:55 Philip Blood
Your targets are not only civilian communities, they are civilians themselves. They are defenceless civilians, concentrated in large pockets and large communities that.
00:19:07 Philip Blood
As soon as you do that in my mind now.
00:19:10 Philip Blood
We have, you know, that's genocide and we have to change the laws.
00:19:16 Philip Blood
Because we have to understand that when somebody fires 152 millimetre shell.
00:19:24 Philip Blood
Onto an apartment block it. It's almost going to destroy the whole building.
00:19:31 Philip Blood
I mean, we're seeing things like huge centres of massive apartment blocks just being rented out or ripped out of the central buildings.
00:19:42 Philip Blood
That's deliberate.
00:19:45 Philip Blood
That's a deliberate act.
00:19:49 Philip Blood
So.
00:19:51 Philip Blood
When I first came to the idea that this was genocide within the week of the war starting, I was simply pointing out that civilians were being caught in such a way through the traditional sense. So therefore we ever all not, not a Rwanda, but we have something like a Kosovo Sayo situation.
00:20:11 Philip Blood
But.
00:20:13 Philip Blood
That was my first indicate inkling, but what I hadn't realised without looking was the sheer density of these populations around these Ukrainian cities.
00:20:25 Philip Blood
Which means that when you flow ordinance on them.
00:20:29 Philip Blood
You are killing people.
00:20:33 Philip Blood
And then they went further. They started to hit the railway centres as people were leaving the refugees on the trains with rockets. And what have you.
00:20:45 Philip Blood
And the accumulation of all this rocketry heavy shelling pounding.
00:20:53 Philip Blood
Is that?
00:20:55 Philip Blood
We don't need to.
00:20:57 Philip Blood
Have ICC come in and do mega investigations? We have to say right straight away, that's genocide and if you continue doing it, you're just mounting the genocide against you.
00:21:11 Philip Blood
What we've allowed to happen.
00:21:14 Philip Blood
And now I'm talking a lot now, but I know I wanna know what's happened in the past, and especially since the war in former Yugoslavia with Bosnia and.
00:21:27 Philip Blood
Serbia and Croatia, when all the communities were were involved in a horrible civil war. Plus NATO was bombing cities.
00:21:36 Philip Blood
The genocide that was being investigated then was always being measured by military men coming up with collateral damage calculations.
00:21:48 Philip Blood
Civilians in Europe have to take back control and I don't mean NATO because they're useless. I'm talking about politicians, have to take control.
00:22:01 Philip Blood
And decide.
00:22:04 Philip Blood
Where the the genocide stands. So as soon as some city is hit.
00:22:11 Philip Blood
You can register that as a criminal act, and it's marked as genocide. Now, if it comes down as.
00:22:18 Philip Blood
OK, you might have a barrage which makes a mistake, in which case it's murder.
00:22:25 Philip Blood
However.
00:22:26 Philip Blood
However.
00:22:32 Philip Blood
What happens when we start chucking around nuclear missiles?
00:22:38 Philip Blood
And nobody has really thought about that.
00:22:42 Philip Blood
So some idiot decides because of what's happening with the with in Lithuania with Kaliningrad. So we're going to start chucking tactical nuclear missiles all over the place.
00:22:53 Philip Blood
I want to say straight away before anybody says otherwise, that the first strike of a nuclear missile is genocide.
00:23:06 Philip Blood
It's not escalation.
00:23:08 Philip Blood
It's genocide.
00:23:10 Philip Blood
When you're acting with genocidal purpose.
00:23:14 Philip Blood
Because you are trying to commit to master and that goes to the same with chemical and biological weapons.
00:23:23 Philip Blood
If you drop biological and chemical weapons in the European civilization zones.
00:23:33 Philip Blood
You are committing genocide.
00:23:37 Philip Blood
I'm saying now instead of allowing the military to determine what's genocide, we decide as civilians decide what's going to be genocide, and if you use those weapons, even in retaliation.
00:23:51 Philip Blood
You are committing genocide.
00:23:53 Philip Blood
You better win.
00:23:56 Philip Blood
Because at the end.
00:23:59 Philip Blood
You might just be in the court.
00:24:04 Philip Blood
There we are.
00:24:07 Philip Blood
Chewy stuff, eh?
00:24:10 Ben Skipper
Very, very, very yeah. I've been. I don't about you. Just. I've been making a series of notes that you've been speaking about this film, you know, this sort of shifting of definition away from and identifying this is, you know, we we've gone. We've progressed from.
00:24:13 Dustin Du Cane
Curious.
00:24:29 Ben Skipper
A special military operations, purely a one hour of of of genocide.
00:24:35 Ben Skipper
And sorry, when I sort of interrupted you something you said sparked a recollection of the behaviour of Kissinger in particular during the during that phase of Vienna war where he micromanaged everything, he micromanaged the destruction almost are of laws in particular.
00:24:57 Ben Skipper
You know, he wanting kill rates and and loss rates on a daily basis, he was fixated about the effect of mature operations of the more you know, sort of as an enormous particulate level.
00:25:12 Ben Skipper
I'm I'm wanting to know and then you know we we with with your sort of and and there are other you know your your your sort of reference to to Aubrey Dixon.
00:25:26 Ben Skipper
And looking at collateral damage and I think that's quite important to make, make that reference to that. Knowing is a war crime. We I think personally speaking, collateral damage. I've always been very uncomfortable with that face. I don't think it's one we should have ever. It should have never been allowed to proliferate because.
00:25:45 Ben Skipper
Yes, I I can appreciate. There are gonna be times and then any military operation if you're switching to build barrier, civilians will get killed. And there's very little you can do about it.
00:25:55 Ben Skipper
Well, we should. We should always very, very, very uncomfortable with that.
00:26:00 Ben Skipper
Especially when it comes to deliberate targeting because it's no longer, you know, as again as you said, it's no longer collateral damage, it's an, it's an act of genocide.
00:26:09 Ben Skipper
Miss you?
00:26:09 Philip Blood
Just can I just add something here which?
00:26:12 Ben Skipper
Yeah, of course, yeah.
00:26:13 Philip Blood
Which comes directly from from reach that I'm doing for the present book.
00:26:19 Philip Blood
But also comes from my time when I was studying Strategic Studies back in the 80s when we were doing Strategic Studies back in the 80s, there was something quite bizarre because we were.
00:26:36 Philip Blood
We'd obviously go on buses and discuss things like flexible response, you know, all the good, good NATO terminology was like flexible response forward defence.
00:26:48 Philip Blood
Which essentially meant there was a line down the centre of Germany where NATO forces would stand. They would be like an elastic band and when the elastic band broke.
00:27:00 Philip Blood
Off would go the nuclear missiles.
00:27:03 Philip Blood
OK.
00:27:04 Philip Blood
Now in that mix.
00:27:06 Philip Blood
And a lot of people didn't realise at the time.
00:27:09 Philip Blood
With things like.
00:27:13 Philip Blood
In Eastern Europe, 200,000 tonnes of chemical weapons.
00:27:20 Philip Blood
In Russian depots.
00:27:23 Philip Blood
In silos.
00:27:26 Philip Blood
And people don't realise. But in 19901991, when the Americans invaded the Gulf War and there was the war against the first war against Saddam.
00:27:37 Philip Blood
The Americans use that to help the Russians get rid of all of that nerve gas.
00:27:47 Philip Blood
Now I watched a programme that was created by a man called Gwyn Dyer in 1980 who was a foremost thinker about Warner loses.
00:27:57 Philip Blood
And he went over the same battleground back in 198081.
00:28:04 Philip Blood
And he discussed these subjects with military specialists at the time. And when you, when you look at that, it's not just looking at history, it's looking at confronting something which.
00:28:16 Philip Blood
Now, perhaps a lot older, unless.
00:28:22 Philip Blood
I'm a bit more sensitive to because I I kind of got the impression while the soldiers were suggesting OK, there was no defences against the nuclear and chemical weapons, there was this little thread which was the civilians are helpless.
00:28:41 Philip Blood
And it suddenly dawned on me that we've done all these calculations back in the day that we're like, you know, maybe a million dead here and a million dead there and a million dead everywhere else. And a lot of the Russian tanks that survive because they've been hardened to atomic weapons and sealed for this, that and the other.
00:28:59 Philip Blood
But nobody had actually.
00:29:00 Philip Blood
Sat down and thought. Hang on a minute.
00:29:03 Philip Blood
Populations like Cologne and Berlin and wherever we're just gonna disappear.
00:29:09 Philip Blood
Off the planet.
00:29:13 Philip Blood
I mean, with the shock of what's happened at Mariupol.
00:29:17 Philip Blood
Is the 100,000.
00:29:19 Philip Blood
People, I mean.
00:29:19 Philip Blood
You to lose Cologne, you're losing 4 or 5 million people.
00:29:25 Philip Blood
Those calculations were going through Strategic Studies.
00:29:31 Philip Blood
In a way that you would calculate collateral damage.
00:29:37 Philip Blood
And those calculations are forgotten.
00:29:41 Philip Blood
When we see this stuff going on about, you know, how much pounding's going on in the Ukraine with, you know, our experts from these various military institutes who sat there and say, well, you know, watch this shell or rest of it.
00:29:54 Philip Blood
We're not actually working out the collateral damage and the destruction that's being imposed, and I mean imposed on the civil.